SHA Analytics, LLC is part of the financial advisory team supporting LA Metro on the Sepulveda Transit Corridor Project, a major initiative to improve connectivity between the San Fernando Valley and Los Angeles Westside. The Project is exploring a range of high-capacity transit technologies – including heavy rail and monorail – with delivery options that include both traditional and public-private partnership (P3) models. ​Under Metro’s Pre-Development Agreement (PDA) structure, SHA Analytics, LLC provides technical advisory services focused on risk and financial analysis to inform procurement strategy and long-term delivery planning.

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Key contributions include:

• Developing and maintaining detailed risk registers for project alternatives, including risk allocation strategies under PDA structures.

• Leading quantitative risk analysis of cost and schedule to support the Value-for-Money (VfM) analysis used to compare traditional and P3 delivery.

• Coordinating with Metro’s legal and technical teams to align risk assumptions with contract terms.

• Estimating risk-adjusted capital, operating, and lifecycle costs using Monte Carlo simulation.

• Generating cash flow models with FTA SCC-based breakdowns to inform financial planning and owner/developer risk shares.

 

SHA Analytics, LLC completed the initial risk analysis for PDA alternatives in 2024. Once a Locally Preferred Alternative (LPA) is selected, anticipated in late 2025, SHA Analytics, LLC will lead a new round of quantitative risk analysis to support the public-sector comparative evaluation.

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By aligning technical risk analysis with procurement strategy and contract planning, SHA Analytics, LLC helps Metro lay the groundwork for informed decision-making and successful long-term project delivery.

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